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A hot start to picking playoff games quickly cooled last weekend. It wasn’t a bad week, but it wasn’t great either.

I went 2-2 straight up, 2-2 against the spread of our expert picks and 2-3 with my best bets as part of the Pick Six Podcast.

It’s not what I expected. I picked the New York Giants to defend against the Philadelphia Eagles, which was a terrible pick. I also picked the Dallas Cowboys to back against the San Francisco 49ers, a game I thought Dallas would win, and it seemed like a push until a late 49ers field goal. Okay. I got Jacksonville’s late field goal against the Chiefs to get that coverage.

Everything is settling down. But after a 4-2 ATS week on Super Wild Card Weekend, I’m now 6-4 for the postseason. I picked up all the “dogs” last week. Not this week.

So let’s hope for a championship game to ensure a winning record in the postseason.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, 3 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Recommended game |: Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers

This is a game between two physical teams with good running games and good defensive fronts. That means it will come down to priority no matter how many offensive playmakers are on the field.

The Eagles impressed last week, sweeping the Giants, while the 49ers beat Dallas at home. San Francisco’s offense struggled some in that game, but Brock Purdy rallied after a slow start to win his seventh straight start. This one, however, is a bigger challenge because it’s against a better team on the road, its first road playoff start. Not only that, he’s facing a defense that led the NFL with 70 sacks, two shy of the record. They also come from all over the place with four players who had 10 or more sacks. Look for the Eagles to attack the right side of the 49ers offensive line on the weaker side.

The Eagles offense had another big rushing day against the Giants, which is the backbone of their offense. Jalen Hurts can throw it, but they need to be able to run it here. That’s why their top-rated offensive line is key. They need to get a push in the run game and contain Nick Bosa and Hurts when they throw. The 49ers linebackers can run and cover, which is a must against the Eagles offense. Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw stand out. They should be in this one.

But I’m looking for Hurts to outperform Purdy and lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl. That Eagles offensive line and pass rush will decide this game.

Choose. Eagles 30, 49 at 21

Sunday, 6:30pm ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Recommended game |: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The big issue here is the health of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Will he be able to move after spraining his high ankle against Jacksonville last week? If not, what does that mean for the Chiefs offense since he’s doing so much damage off schedule and out of pocket?

Kansas City’s offense did some good things when he returned from injury against Jacksonville, but he certainly looked limited in terms of mobility. That will matter against a Bengals defense that has a lot of moving parts and can blitz anywhere. They’ve done a great job against him in recent games the last three times they’ve played him. The Jaguars didn’t go after Mahomes enough after he injured his ankle, but you can bet the Bengals will, even though it’s not the strategy they used to beat him in the title game last year. They came after Josh Allen hard last week in their lopsided win.

In that game, Joe Burrow and the offense successfully moved the football. The offensive line, which was down to three starters, played well as the Bengals ran it with Joe Mixon and Burrow made some big hits in the passing game. Mixon didn’t play in a regular season game between these teams this season, but he’ll be big in this one. The Chiefs could get after a quarterback with 55 sacks this season, which will put a premium on running the ball and a defense for the Bengals, who could have some of those offensive linemen back.

The Bengals have beaten the Chiefs three straight, including last January’s AFC Championship game and this season’s regular season. Burrow seems to be enjoying the big moments. I expect him to play well here while Mahomes’ limited mobility comes into play. That’s important, and it’s why the Bengals will be going to their second straight Super Bowl.

Choose. Bengals 27, Chiefs 24


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