Insider experts pick the best products and services to help you make smart decisions with your money (here’s how). In some cases, we receive a commission from our partners, but our opinion is our own. Terms and conditions apply to the offers listed on this page.
Mortgage rates have recently declined and remain low today. As inflation continues to slow, it’s likely that mortgage rates will continue to decline in the new year.
For homeowners who bought when interest rates were rising, an opportunity to refinance at a lower rate may be available in 2023 or 2024.
At their highest, average 30-year fixed rates hit 7.08% in November, according to Freddie Mac. Now they are 6.31%. They may decrease further in 2023.
For a $300,000 loan with an interest rate of 7.08%, your monthly payment would be $1,610. At a rate of 6.31%, it will be $1,487. If interest rates continue to fall, those who got a mortgage when interest rates were at their highest could cut their monthly payments by a hundred dollars or more if they refinance when interest rates drop.
Today’s mortgage rates
|Type of mortgage||Average exchange rate today|
Today’s refinancing rates
|Type of mortgage||Average exchange rate today|
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today’s mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments.
Your estimated monthly payment
- Paying a 25% a higher down payment will save you $8,916.08 on interest payments
- Interest rate reduction 1% would save you $51,562.03
- Additional payment $500 each month will reduce the term of the loan 146: months
By plugging in different term lengths and interest rates, you’ll see how your monthly payment can change.
Mortgage interest rate forecast for 2023
Mortgage rates began to rise from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and have risen by more than three percentage points so far in 2022. They are likely to remain near their current levels for the remainder of 2022 and begin to decline in 2023.
The Mortgage Bankers Association noted that a recession in the first half of 2023 could cause interest rates to fall even faster. It currently estimates that there is a 50% chance of a mild recession in the next year.
Whether mortgage rates will fall in 2023 depends on whether the Federal Reserve can control inflation.
In the last 12 months, the consumer price index increased by 7.1%. This is a slowdown from last month’s numbers, which means the Fed may be starting to ease the pace of federal funds rate hikes.
As inflation slows, mortgage rates will also begin to decline. If the Fed acts too aggressively and creates a recession, mortgage rates could fall further than currently forecast. But interest rates likely won’t fall to the historic lows that borrowers have enjoyed for the past few years.
Should I Get a HELOC? Pros and cons
If you want to tap into your home equity, a HELOC may be the best way to do it right now. Unlike a cash-out refinance, you won’t have to get a completely new mortgage with a new interest rate, and you’ll likely get a better rate than you would with a home equity loan.
But HELOCs don’t always make sense. It is important to consider the pros and cons.
- Pay only interest on your debt
- Usually have lower interest rates than alternatives, including home equity loans, personal loans and credit cards
- If you have a lot of equity, you can potentially borrow more than you can get with a personal loan
Against a HELOC
- Rates are variable, which means your monthly payments may increase
- Taking equity out of your home can be risky if property values decline or you default on the loan.
- The minimum withdrawal amount may be more than you want to withdraw
When will the prices of apartments decrease?
Home prices are starting to fall, but we likely won’t see huge declines even if there is a downturn.
The S&P Case-Shiller home price index shows prices are still rising from a year ago, although they fell month-over-month in July, August and September. Researchers at Fannie Mae expect prices to fall 1.5% in 2023, while MBA expects a 0.7% increase in 2023 and a 0.1% decline in 2024.
High subprime mortgage rates have pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing home-buying demand and putting pressure on home prices. But prices may start to fall next year, which will take some of that pressure off. The current supply of homes is also historically low, which will likely keep prices from falling too far.
What happens to house prices in a recession?
Home prices usually fall during recessions, but not always. When this happens, it’s mostly because fewer people can afford to buy homes, and lower demand forces sellers to lower their prices.
How Much Mortgage Can I Afford?
A mortgage calculator can help you determine how much you can afford to borrow. Play around with different home prices and down payment amounts to see what your monthly payment might be and consider how it fits into your overall budget.
As a rule of thumb, experts recommend spending no more than 28% of your gross monthly income on housing costs. This means that your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, cannot exceed 28% of your monthly income.
The lower your interest rate, the more you’ll be able to borrow, so shop around and check with mortgage lenders beforehand to see who can offer you the best rate. But remember not to borrow more than your budget can comfortably handle.